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调查 #161 已完成

蔚来 ES8

创建: 2026-08-10 21:29 · 完成: 2026-08-10 21:30

调查报告

蔚来ES8舆情健康，但存在部分信息未明确的情况。 AI 生成

计数为代码统计 报道数 12 事件数 10 来源数 3

风险信号

concurrent_reports：无
异常来源：无

承诺兑现 工具查询

在档 2 条 兑现 0 未兑现 0 证据不足 2
证据不足 ES8 承诺 2026-06-28 · 期限 2026-07-09
活动当天，蔚来创始人、董事长、CEO李斌宣布，蔚来ES8大五座版正式开启预订，新车将于7月9日上市
证据不足 品牌级 承诺 2026-05-16 · 期限 2026-05-29
5月27日，我们将在北京举办蔚来ES9上市发布会，5月29日结合在深圳举办的粤港澳大湾区车展，乐道L60的2026款也将发布，希望各位老师们能够继续支持我们

只展示账本已有判定；未到期不判定，沉默不等于违约。

预测封存 工具查询

暂无与本车型直接匹配的封存预测

按车型、品牌和车型别名匹配封存时写定的预测正文与判定标准。

执行计划

1. search_news 2. get_event_clusters 3. media_profile 4. promise_tracker 5. prediction_ledger

执行轨迹

search_news { "days": 30, "limit": 20, "query": "ES8" } 48ms
输入参数
{
  "days": 30,
  "limit": 20,
  "query": "ES8"
}
返回摘要
{ "count": 12, "filters": { "days": 30, "exclude_source": null }, "label_criteria": { "疑似机器生成": "高频套话密度与段落长度均匀度，见 reasons.aigc.density / .para_uniform", "营销维度扣…
{
  "count": 12,
  "filters": {
    "days": 30,
    "exclude_source": null
  },
  "label_criteria": {
    "疑似机器生成": "高频套话密度与段落长度均匀度，见 reasons.aigc.density / .para_uniform",
    "营销维度扣分": "营销词命中数与密度，见 reasons.marketing.hits / .density（次/千字）；仅 density_high 为真时表示实测密度过门槛，为假只代表该维扣了分"
  },
  "results": [
    {
      "id": 1105,
      "published_at": "2026-08-04 03:54:00+00:00",
      "quality_labels": [
        "营销维度扣分"
      ],
      "quality_score": 85,
      "relevance_score": 5.98,
      "source": "第一电动",
      "title": "10个车主里面有8个都愿帮李斌卖车！蔚来ES8 NPS纯电车第一"
    },
    {
      "id": 1194,
      "published_at": "2026-08-08 00:30:00+00:00",
      "quality_labels": [],
      "quality_score": 100,
      "relevance_score": 3.0,
      "source": "汽车之家",
      "title": "firefly萤火虫正式接入蔚来换电体系 蔚来第4000座换电站落成"
    },
    {
      "id": 1143,
      "published_at": "2026-08-06 03:17:00+00:00",
      "quality_labels": [
        "营销维度扣分"
      ],
      "quality_score": 85,
      "relevance_score": 3.0,
      "source": "汽车之家",
      "title": "双9互搏？享界G9会否引发华为内战"
    },
    {
      "id": 1113,
      "published_at": "2026-08-04 02:12:00+00:00",
      "quality_labels": [],
      "quality_score": 100,
      "relevance_score": 3.0,
      "source": "第一电动",
      "title": "2026年上半年越野/高端/猎装销量榜：自主车企集体上攻，新能源渗透加深丨盖世汽车研究院"
    },
    {
      "id": 995,
      "published_at": "2026-08-01 04:57:00+00:00",
      "quality_labels": [],
      "quality_score": 100,
      "relevance_score": 3.0,
      "source": "汽车之家",
      "title": "蔚来公司7月交付35934台 同比增长71% 1-7月累计交付227057台"
    },
    {
      "id": 981,
      "published_at": "2026-08-01 06:19:00+00:00",
      "quality_labels": [],
      "quality_score": 100,
      "relevance_score": 3.0,
      "source": "和讯汽车",
      "title": "量价齐升、增速领跑行业，蔚来7月销量验证了经营质量的胜利"
    },
    {
      "id": 980,
      "published_at": "2026-08-01 06:26:00+00:00",
      "quality_labels": [],
      "quality_score": 100,
      "relevance_score": 3.0,
      "source": "和讯汽车",
      "title": "前七个月增速行业第一，蔚来7月同比增长71%强势开局下半年"
    },
    {
      "id": 958,
      "published_at": "2026-08-01 11:58:00+00:00",
      "quality_labels": [],
      "quality_score": 100,
      "relevance_score": 3.0,
      "source": "汽车之家",
      "title": "7月新能源品牌销量汇总：多品牌同比增长超100% 零跑迈入10万级！"
    },
    {
      "id": 936,
      "published_at": "2026-07-31 09:41:00+00:00",
      "quality_labels": [
        "营销维度扣分",
        "疑似机器生成"
      ],
      "quality_score": 54,
      "relevance_score": 3.0,
      "source": "第一电动",
      "title": "颜值与实力在线，30万左右最新SUV车型推荐这款"
    },
    {
      "id": 870,
      "published_at": "2026-07-30 09:14:00+00:00",
      "quality_labels": [],
      "quality_score": 100,
      "relevance_score": 3.0,
      "source": "和讯汽车",
      "title": "乐道沈斐：纯电车型黄金时代，已经势不可挡"
    },
    {
      "id": 523,
      "published_at": "2026-07-14 02:50:00+00:00",
      "quality_labels": [
        "营销维度扣分"
      ],
      "quality_score": 80,
      "relevance_score": 3.0,
      "source": "第一电动",
      "title": "车企为啥都抢着让你在车里“躺平”？"
    },
    {
      "id": 26,
      "published_at": "2026-07-21 22:00:00+00:00",
      "quality_labels": [],
      "quality_score": 100,
      "relevance_score": 3.0,
      "source": "汽车之家",
      "title": "上半年热销SUV盘点：理想单品销量超小米YU7 这些燃油车仍坚挺？"
    }
  ]
}
get_event_clusters { "car_model_id": 31, "limit": 10 } 6ms
输入参数
{
  "car_model_id": 31,
  "limit": 10
}
返回摘要
{ "count": 10, "events": [ { "article_count": 3, "id": 1529, "source_count": 3, "sources": [ "和讯汽车", "汽车之家", "第一电动" ], "title": "firefly萤火虫正式接入蔚来换电体系 蔚来第4000座换…
{
  "count": 10,
  "events": [
    {
      "article_count": 3,
      "id": 1529,
      "source_count": 3,
      "sources": [
        "和讯汽车",
        "汽车之家",
        "第一电动"
      ],
      "title": "firefly萤火虫正式接入蔚来换电体系 蔚来第4000座换电站落成",
      "updated_at": "2026-08-09 15:42:23.181460+00:00"
    },
    {
      "article_count": 1,
      "id": 1479,
      "source_count": 1,
      "sources": [
        "汽车之家"
      ],
      "title": "双9互搏？享界G9会否引发华为内战",
      "updated_at": "2026-08-06 07:14:07.728785+00:00"
    },
    {
      "article_count": 1,
      "id": 1451,
      "source_count": 1,
      "sources": [
        "第一电动"
      ],
      "title": "2026年上半年越野/高端/猎装销量榜：自主车企集体上攻，新能源渗透加深丨盖世汽车研究院",
      "updated_at": "2026-08-04 23:25:51.494129+00:00"
    },
    {
      "article_count": 1,
      "id": 1444,
      "source_count": 1,
      "sources": [
        "第一电动"
      ],
      "title": "10个车主里面有8个都愿帮李斌卖车！蔚来ES8 NPS纯电车第一",
      "updated_at": "2026-08-04 23:24:02.781292+00:00"
    },
    {
      "article_count": 4,
      "id": 1346,
      "source_count": 3,
      "sources": [
        "汽车之家",
        "新浪汽车",
        "和讯汽车"
      ],
      "title": "蔚来公司7月共交付新车35934台",
      "updated_at": "2026-08-01 21:00:29.184852+00:00"
    },
    {
      "article_count": 1,
      "id": 1348,
      "source_count": 1,
      "sources": [
        "和讯汽车"
      ],
      "title": "量价齐升、增速领跑行业，蔚来7月销量验证了经营质量的胜利",
      "updated_at": "2026-08-01 15:03:54.687157+00:00"
    },
    {
      "article_count": 2,
      "id": 1331,
      "source_count": 2,
      "sources": [
        "和讯汽车",
        "汽车之家"
      ],
      "title": "7月新能源品牌销量汇总：多品牌同比增长超100% 零跑迈入10万级！",
      "updated_at": "2026-08-01 15:03:22.090024+00:00"
    },
    {
      "article_count": 1,
      "id": 1312,
      "source_count": 1,
      "sources": [
        "第一电动"
      ],
      "title": "颜值与实力在线，30万左右最新SUV车型推荐这款",
      "updated_at": "2026-07-31 15:03:59.732644+00:00"
    },
    {
      "article_count": 1,
      "id": 1256,
      "source_count": 1,
      "sources": [
        "和讯汽车"
      ],
      "title": "乐道沈斐：纯电车型黄金时代，已经势不可挡",
      "updated_at": "2026-07-30 16:47:16.609956+00:00"
    },
    {
      "article_count": 1,
      "id": 1054,
      "source_count": 1,
      "sources": [
        "和讯汽车"
      ],
      "title": "16家新能源品牌5月销量汇总：比亚迪月销创新高，“蔚小理”难聚首",
      "updated_at": "2026-07-26 07:01:40.564417+00:00"
    }
  ]
}
media_profile { "car_model_id": 31 } 2ms
输入参数
{
  "car_model_id": 31
}
返回摘要
{ "car_model": "蔚来 ES8", "profiles": [ { "avg_score": 96.0, "clickbait": 0, "count": 5, "puffery": 1, "source": "和讯汽车", "stance_drift": { "anomaly": false, "di…
{
  "car_model": "蔚来 ES8",
  "profiles": [
    {
      "avg_score": 96.0,
      "clickbait": 0,
      "count": 5,
      "puffery": 1,
      "source": "和讯汽车",
      "stance_drift": {
        "anomaly": false,
        "direction": "positive",
        "shift": 0.71
      }
    },
    {
      "avg_score": 97.0,
      "clickbait": 0,
      "count": 5,
      "puffery": 1,
      "source": "汽车之家",
      "stance_drift": null
    },
    {
      "avg_score": 76.0,
      "clickbait": 0,
      "count": 4,
      "puffery": 2,
      "source": "新浪汽车",
      "stance_drift": {
        "anomaly": false,
        "direction": "positive",
        "shift": 1.0
      }
    },
    {
      "avg_score": 79.8,
      "clickbait": 0,
      "count": 4,
      "puffery": 3,
      "source": "第一电动",
      "stance_drift": null
    },
    {
      "avg_score": 80.0,
      "clickbait": 0,
      "count": 1,
      "puffery": 1,
      "source": "太平洋汽车",
      "stance_drift": null
    }
  ],
  "source_count": 5
}
promise_tracker { "car_model_id": 31 } 14ms
输入参数
{
  "car_model_id": 31
}
返回摘要
{ "brand": "蔚来", "car_model": "蔚来 ES8", "count": 2, "method_note": "只展示账本已有判定；未到期不判定，沉默不等于违约。", "promises": [ { "brand": "蔚来", "car_model": "ES8", "deadline": …
{
  "brand": "蔚来",
  "car_model": "蔚来 ES8",
  "count": 2,
  "method_note": "只展示账本已有判定；未到期不判定，沉默不等于违约。",
  "promises": [
    {
      "brand": "蔚来",
      "car_model": "ES8",
      "deadline": "2026-07-09",
      "detail_path": "/promises/120/",
      "evidence": [
        {
          "nli_label": "neutral",
          "nli_reason": "证据未提及上市时间",
          "published_at": "2026-08-04",
          "title": "10个车主里面有8个都愿帮李斌卖车！蔚来ES8 NPS纯电车第一",
          "url": "https://www.d1ev.com/news/qiye/309166"
        },
        {
          "nli_label": "neutral",
          "nli_reason": "证据未提及上市时间",
          "published_at": "2026-08-01",
          "title": "前七个月增速行业第一，蔚来7月同比增长71%强势开局下半年",
          "url": "http://auto.hexun.com/2026-08-01/224750150.html"
        },
        {
          "nli_label": "neutral",
          "nli_reason": "证据未提及上市时间",
          "published_at": "2026-08-01",
          "title": "量价齐升、增速领跑行业，蔚来7月销量验证了经营质量的胜利",
          "url": "http://auto.hexun.com/2026-08-01/224750228.html"
        },
        {
          "nli_label": "neutral",
          "nli_reason": "证据未提及蔚来ES8上市情况",
          "published_at": "2026-08-06",
          "title": "双9互搏？享界G9会否引发华为内战",
          "url": "https://www.autohome.com.cn/news/202608/1316233.html"
        },
        {
          "nli_label": "neutral",
          "nli_reason": "证据未提及蔚来ES8上市情况",
          "published_at": "2026-08-01",
          "title": "7月新能源品牌销量汇总：多品牌同比增长超100% 零跑迈入10万级！",
          "url": "https://www.autohome.com.cn/news/202608/1316154.html"
        }
      ],
      "id": 120,
      "is_due": true,
      "promised_at": "2026-06-28",
      "source_name": "新浪汽车",
      "source_url": "https://auto.sina.com.cn/news/2026-06-28/detail-inieyetq3738728.shtml",
      "status": "unclear",
      "status_label": "证据不足",
      "text": "活动当天，蔚来创始人、董事长、CEO李斌宣布，蔚来ES8大五座版正式开启预订，新车将于7月9日上市",
      "verdict_note": "证据未正面回答是否兑现，记证据不足"
    },
    {
      "brand": "蔚来",
      "car_model": "",
      "deadline": "2026-05-29",
      "detail_path": "/promises/123/",
      "evidence": [],
      "id": 123,
      "is_due": true,
      "promised_at": "2026-05-16",
      "source_name": "新浪汽车",
      "source_url": "https://auto.sina.com.cn/news/2026-05-16/detail-inhyawym4377936.shtml",
      "status": "unclear",
      "status_label": "证据不足",
      "text": "5月27日，我们将在北京举办蔚来ES9上市发布会，5月29日结合在深圳举办的粤港澳大湾区车展，乐道L60的2026款也将发布，希望各位老师们能够继续支持我们",
      "verdict_note": "兑现期内未检索到相关报道；沉默不等于违约，暂记证据不足"
    }
  ],
  "returned_count": 2,
  "status_counts": {
    "broken": 0,
    "kept": 0,
    "unclear": 2
  }
}
prediction_ledger { "car_model_id": 31 } 3ms
输入参数
{
  "car_model_id": 31
}
返回摘要
{ "car_model": "蔚来 ES8", "count": 0, "event_clusters": [ { "id": 1529, "title": "firefly萤火虫正式接入蔚来换电体系 蔚来第4000座换电站落成" }, { "id": 1479, "title": "双9互搏？享界G9会否引发华为…
{
  "car_model": "蔚来 ES8",
  "count": 0,
  "event_clusters": [
    {
      "id": 1529,
      "title": "firefly萤火虫正式接入蔚来换电体系 蔚来第4000座换电站落成"
    },
    {
      "id": 1479,
      "title": "双9互搏？享界G9会否引发华为内战"
    },
    {
      "id": 1451,
      "title": "2026年上半年越野/高端/猎装销量榜：自主车企集体上攻，新能源渗透加深丨盖世汽车研究院"
    },
    {
      "id": 1444,
      "title": "10个车主里面有8个都愿帮李斌卖车！蔚来ES8 NPS纯电车第一"
    },
    {
      "id": 1346,
      "title": "蔚来公司7月共交付新车35934台"
    },
    {
      "id": 1348,
      "title": "量价齐升、增速领跑行业，蔚来7月销量验证了经营质量的胜利"
    },
    {
      "id": 1331,
      "title": "7月新能源品牌销量汇总：多品牌同比增长超100% 零跑迈入10万级！"
    },
    {
      "id": 1312,
      "title": "颜值与实力在线，30万左右最新SUV车型推荐这款"
    },
    {
      "id": 1256,
      "title": "乐道沈斐：纯电车型黄金时代，已经势不可挡"
    },
    {
      "id": 1054,
      "title": "16家新能源品牌5月销量汇总：比亚迪月销创新高，“蔚小理”难聚首"
    },
    {
      "id": 1040,
      "title": "何小鹏：小鹏GX已迈入全球化逻辑体系 今年还有多款全球化车型"
    },
    {
      "id": 979,
      "title": "阿维塔陈卓：五月将重回一万台基本门槛"
    },
    {
      "id": 967,
      "title": "车企为啥都抢着让你在车里“躺平”？"
    },
    {
      "id": 865,
      "title": "大五座下半场是乐道L80和蔚来ES8的纯电时代"
    },
    {
      "id": 825,
      "title": "蔚来ES8 0001号入藏北京汽车博物馆"
    },
    {
      "id": 601,
      "title": "掀起“免息潮”！蔚来、特斯拉、小鹏放大招"
    },
    {
      "id": 530,
      "title": "除了手机 李斌还在蔚来科技日上秀了什么肌肉？"
    },
    {
      "id": 508,
      "title": "上半年热销SUV盘点：理想单品销量超小米YU7 这些燃油车仍坚挺？"
    }
  ],
  "matching_note": "按车型、品牌和车型别名匹配封存时写定的预测正文与判定标准。",
  "message": "暂无与本车型直接匹配的封存预测",
  "predictions": []
}

结构化声明 (Claims) AI 生成

存疑
蔚来ES8在纯电车NPS排名中位列第一。
反证：本条尚未跑反证检索
存疑
蔚来ES8大五座版已开启预订，将于7月9日上市。
反证：本条尚未跑反证检索
存疑
蔚来ES8 0001号车入藏北京汽车博物馆。
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